Svrcina v Bublik & Diallo v Fritz
Svrcina vs Bublik
In this match I placed a £10 bet at 1.12 odds. The result was a profit of £1.18. On paper, it was a low-risk bet, and it played out as expected.
But honestly, I don’t really enjoy these kinds of bets. The upside is tiny, while the downside can still hurt if things go wrong. Even though the numbers add up, it doesn’t feel like the right approach for me long-term.
Result: £1.18Diallo vs Fritz – A £1 Trade That Could Have Gone Either Way
For this match I placed a £1 bet on Fritz at 2.06. Before the start, Fritz was the clear favorite with odds around 1.36, but after losing his serve and eventually the first set, the market drifted. I saw good value in backing him at that point.
Fritz managed to win the second set and push it to a deciding third. By then, I was already thinking about whether I should trade out and protect my position. Normally, in a tiebreak situation, the odds can swing wildly with just one mini-break — so it’s often a good place to lock in some guaranteed profit.
But because my stake was only £1, I felt comfortable letting it ride. It wasn’t the most disciplined decision in terms of bankroll management, but I figured the exposure was minimal. This time, it worked out in my favor: Fritz won the third set tiebreak, and my bet landed.
Looking back, the entry point was good — I spotted value after the market overreacted to the first set loss. The weaker part of my decision was not having a proper exit plan. In the long run, relying on “letting it ride” isn’t sustainable, even for small stakes. A better habit is to lock in profits or at least partially trade out when the momentum shifts.
Lesson (learned?): Good entries need good exits. Getting lucky feels nice, but building discipline will matter more as the stakes increase.
Result: £1.04
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